Meteorologicus Interruptus
Feb. 16th, 2008 05:07 pmDear Weatherpeople.
Okay, I realize a lot of folks don't like rainy days. I love them. I love thunderstorms. And in order to find out when they happen, I look to you.
You've dissapointed me very much the last few "percent of precipitation" announcements. I've seen numbers as high at 80% chances of thunderstorms, which end up with super dry results.
Today, you promised a 100% chance of THUNDERSTORMS. Holy cow, I love thunderstorms. And 100% chance? I was ready to sing your praises when it happened. And yet, it's dry out there. Grey...but dry.
Please relay my complaints to the upper atmosphere when you consult them for your next chance of precipitation meeting.
Yours, etc.
Jenn
PS - It's SUNNY?! 100% of rain and it's SUNNY out there?! ::shakes fist::
Okay, I realize a lot of folks don't like rainy days. I love them. I love thunderstorms. And in order to find out when they happen, I look to you.
You've dissapointed me very much the last few "percent of precipitation" announcements. I've seen numbers as high at 80% chances of thunderstorms, which end up with super dry results.
Today, you promised a 100% chance of THUNDERSTORMS. Holy cow, I love thunderstorms. And 100% chance? I was ready to sing your praises when it happened. And yet, it's dry out there. Grey...but dry.
Please relay my complaints to the upper atmosphere when you consult them for your next chance of precipitation meeting.
Yours, etc.
Jenn
PS - It's SUNNY?! 100% of rain and it's SUNNY out there?! ::shakes fist::
no subject
Date: 2008-02-16 11:22 pm (UTC)Meterologists.
no subject
Date: 2008-02-16 11:22 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-02-16 11:46 pm (UTC)Then I get to stand up and give the explanation. It's sort of a tradition.
The meteorologists look at the data for the day, like the humidity, the temperature, the wind directions, whether or not the local pigeons have gas, whatever. Everything EXCEPT whether or not it's raining. Then they look at the last 100 days that had exactly the same conditions, and count how many of them had rain. That's the percentage.
So when they say 100% chance of rain, that means that in all the previous days like this, it rained! Now, today it didn't. So, next time, if they were accurate, they'd say there was a 99% chance of rain. Because one day in the last 100, when conditions (except for the rain) it was exactly like this...it rained!
The flipside is that on a day where they said 20% chance of rain, and it rained, there's no reason to change the percentage. It just goes up to 21%.
I love meteorology. I just don't know why they call it a science.
no subject
Date: 2008-02-16 11:56 pm (UTC)There have been two squall lines of MASSIVE thunderstorms forming all day, literally a mile to my east, going east. We HEAR the storm - we're not GETTING the storm.
I doubt a third squall line is going to form, but if it does, I have a feeling it'll be JUST to our east and we won't see a thing.
::pouts::
no subject
Date: 2008-02-17 12:05 am (UTC)Come up here, I got more than I know what to do with.
If I ever win the lottery I wanna become a meteorologist but that requires a lot of schooling.
no subject
Date: 2008-02-17 03:59 am (UTC)